H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Gulfport Ms ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less particular. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a large and exceptionally effective cyclone that caused enormous damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to hurricane specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon experts formerly alerted cyclones might form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy